A. Main modelling hypotheses

FR

This Appendix gives an overview of the main hypothesis used by NATEM for this Outlook.

Main macroeconomic hypotheses

Table A-1 – Real GDP #

Source: CER (2020). Canada’s Energy Future 2020: Energy Supply and Demand Projections to 2050. Macro Indicators.

Table A-2 – Demography #

Source: StatCan (2019). Projected population, by projection scenario, age and sex, as of July 1

Main energy prices used for energy commodities imported/exported from/to Canada

Table A-3 – CER’s Reference scenario #

Source: CER (2020). Canada’s Energy Future 2020: Energy Supply and Demand Projections to 2050. Benchmark Prices.

Table A-4 – CER’s Evolving scenario #

Source: CER (2020). Canada’s Energy Future 2020: Energy Supply and Demand Projections to 2050. Benchmark Prices.

Oil, gas and coal production profiles

Table A-5 – Crude oil production #

Source CER (2020). Canada’s Energy Future 2020: Energy Supply and Demand Projections to 2050.

Table A-6 – Natural gas production #

Source: CER (2020). Canada’s Energy Future 2020: Energy Supply and Demand Projections to 2050.

Table A-7 – Coal production #

Source: CER (2020). Canada’s Energy Future 2020: Energy Supply and Demand Projections to 2050.

Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) costs

Table A-8 – CCS technology costs #

Table A-9 – Investment costs #

Table A-10 – Subsidies per unit #

Electricity-related costs

Table A-11 – Electricity investment costs #

Table A-12 – Electricity fixed operation costs2 #

Table A-13 – Electricity variable costs, technical life expectancy and efficiency #

Electricity storage technology costs

Table A-14 – Electricity storage investment costs #

Table A-15 – Electricity storage fixed operation costs #

Table A-16 – Electricity storage technical life expectancy and efficiency #

Hydrogen and ammonia costs

Table A-17 – Hydrogen and ammonia production #

Table A-18 – Hydrogen transformation #

Table A-19 – Hydrogen transmission #

Table A-20 – Hydrogen distribution #

Table A-21 – Hydrogen storage #

Table A-22 – Synthetic fuels from hydrogen #

Table A-23 – Hydrogen consumption #

Footnotes

1  In Quebec, these costs are replaced with a supply curve for the remaining ~40 GW of potential (5280–14,400 $/kW).

2 Other attributes include the economic life, construction time, physical and resources constraints, etc.